Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 5.841648e-06 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010 0.000011
2025-03-02 4.880098e-06 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014
2025-03-09 4.187023e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012 0.000016
2025-03-16 3.699528e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000014 0.000019
2025-03-23 3.331987e-06 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000023
2025-03-30 2.948159e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000011 0.000017 0.000026
2025-04-06 2.676753e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000030
2025-04-13 2.404980e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019 0.000033
2025-04-20 2.221024e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000012 0.000021 0.000039
2025-04-27 2.090622e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000023 0.000045
2025-05-04 1.951525e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000025 0.000052
2025-05-11 1.846177e-06 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000027 0.000061
2025-05-18 1.729482e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000030 0.000071
2025-05-25 1.608386e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000032 0.000080
2025-06-01 1.501046e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000015 0.000034 0.000090
2025-06-08 1.419508e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000016 0.000037 0.000105
2025-06-15 1.353136e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000040 0.000123
2025-06-22 1.262794e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000042 0.000136
2025-06-29 1.197808e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000017 0.000045 0.000156
2025-07-06 1.121001e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000017 0.000046 0.000170
2025-07-13 1.069996e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000018 0.000050 0.000196
2025-07-20 1.035079e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000055 0.000233
2025-07-27 9.915457e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000008 0.000019 0.000059 0.000268